Main Article Content
Abstract
One of the global problems that has a huge impact on the socio-economic conditions of the country, particulary on food security, is climate change. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a climatic change phenomenon in Indonesia that has three phases: El Nino, La Nina, and Normal. Phenomenon has an impact on rainfall intensity, which bring another impact on the agricultural sector, food crops. This study examines the impact of climate change and other determinants on the production food commodities such as rice, corn, and soybean using the static panel data method. The cross section data focuses on the provinces on the island of Java which became the production center for rice, corn, and soybean, as well as four other provinces with the highest production for the three commodities mentioned. Time series data is used from 2009 to 2017. The results show that El Nino has a significant effect on decreasing rice and corn production and increasing soybean production. La Nina has a significant effect on increasing the production of the three commodities studied. Fertilizer subsidy has a significant effect on increasing the production of the three commodities studied meanwhile productivity significantly impact rice and corn productions.
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Copyright (c) 2022 Ivan Hannoeriadi A., Hermanto Siregar, Alla Asmara
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References
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References
Abubakari, F. (2015). Effects Of Fertilizer Subsidy On The Yield Of Crops Among Rural Farmers In Sudan Savannah And Guinea Savannah Zones Of Ghana. Academic Research Journal of Agricultural Science and Research, 3(4), 80-85. doi: 10.14662/ARJASR2015.008
Afzal, M., Ahmed, G., Javaid, M.N. (2017). Empirical Asessment Of Climate Change On Agricultural Crops: Panel Data Analysis In Pakistan. International Journal Of Food And Agricultural Economics, 5(2), 59-68. doi: 10.22004/ag.econ.266471
Ahmad, F.S., Siregar, H., Pasaribu, S.H. (2019). The Impact Of El Nino On Inflaton In Regional Indonesia: Spatial Panel Approach. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 8(1), 51 – 70. doi:10.15408/sjie.v8i1.7130
Al-Amin, A.K.M.A., Rahman, M.S., Islam, A.H.M.S. (2017). Impact Of Climate Change On Rice Productivity In Bangladesh: Evidence From Panel Data. Bangladesh Journal of Political Economy, 31(5), 393-408
Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional Republik Indonesia. (2010). Indonesia Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap Sektor Pertanian. Retrieved from https://perpustakaan.bappenas.go.id
Food and Agriculture Organization. (2005). Impact Of Climate Change, Pests And Diseases On Food Security And Poverty Reduction. Roma: FAO
Global Shapers Community, World Economic Forum. (2017). Global Shapers Annual Survey 2017. Geneva: GSC-WEF
Hermawan, I. (2014). Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Subsidi Pupuk Urea Dan Tsp Terhadap Produksi Padi Dan Capaian Swasembada Pangan Di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi & Kebijakan Publik, 5(1), 63-78. doi:10.22212/jekp.v5i1.145
Huang, H., Khanna, M. (2012). Determinants Of U.S. Corn And Soybean Yields: Impact Of Climate Change And Crop Prices. SSRN Electronic Journal, 1-35. doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2025132
Huang, Q., et al. (2006). Irrigation, Agricultural Performance And Poverty Reduction In China. Food Policy, 31(1), 30-52. doi: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2005.06.004
Iizumi, T., et al. (2014). Impacts Of El Nino Southern Oscillation On The Global Yields Of Major Crops. Nature Communications, 5(1), 1-7. doi: 10.1038/ncomms4712
Irawan, B. (2006). Fenomena Anomali Iklim El Nino Dan La Nina: Kecenderungan Jangka Panjang Dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Produksi Pangan. Forum Studi Agro Ekonomi, 24(1), 28-45. doi: 10.21082/fae.v24n1.2006.28-45
Nadapdap, H. J. (2017). Dinamika Produktivitas Padi, Jagung, Dan Kedelai Di Pulau Jawa, Indonesia. Jurnal Studi Pertanian Terapan, 17(1), 1-10. doi: 10.25181/jppt.v17i1.2
National Oceanic and Atmosperic Administration. (2019). El Nino Southern Oscilliation. Retrieved from https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php/
Otieno, B.A., et al. (2014). Impact Of Fertilizer Input Subsidy On Maize Production In Nandi North District, Kenya. International Journal of Sciences: Basic And Applied Research, 15(1), 520-540
Prihatman, K. (2000). Kedelai (Glycine max L). Jakarta: Menegristek Bidang Pendayagunaan dan Pemasyarakatan Ilmu Pengetahuan dan Teknologi
Rusmawan, D., & Ahmadi, M. (2018). Pengaruh Ketersediaan Air Terhadap Produksi Padi Sawah. Seminar Hasil Hari Air Sedunia, 1(1), 208-214
Selvaraju, R. (2003). Impact Of El Nino–Southern Oscillation On Indian Foodgrain Production. International Journal of Climatology, 23(2), 187-206. doi: 10.1002/joc.869
Siregar, H., et al. (2020). El Nino And Determinants Of The Output Of Micro And Small Industry In Java. Indonesian Journal Of Business And Entrepreneurship, 6(1), 97-104. doi: 10.17358/ijbe.6.1.97
Suhartini, S.H. (2018). Analisis Sumber-Sumber Pertumbuhan Produksi Kedelai. Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian, 16(2), 89-109. doi: 10.21082/akp.v16n2.2018.89-109
Suryana, A., Agustian, A., & Yofa, R.D. (2016). Alternatif Kebijakan Penyaluran Subsidi Pupuk Bagi Petani Pangan. Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian, 14(1), 35-54. doi: 10.21082/akp.v14n1.2016.35-54
Suwarno. (2010). Meningkatkan Produksi Padi Menuju Ketahanan Pangan Yang Lestari. PANGAN, 19(3), 233-243. doi: 10.33964/jp.v19i3.150
Syaukat, Y. (2011). The Impact Of Climate Change On Food Production And Security And Its Adaptation Programs In Indonesia. Journal ISSAAS, 17(1), 40-51
Taufiq, A., & Sundari, T. (2012). Respons Tanaman Kedelai Terhadap Lingkungan Tumbuh. Buletin Palawija, 23, 13-26. doi: 10.21082/bulpa.v0n23.2012.p13-26
Thompson, W,. et al. (2018). Automatic Responses Of Crop Stocks And Policies Buffer Climate Change Effects On Crop Markets And Price Volatility. Ecological Economics, 152, 98-105. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.04.015
UU RI. (2012). Undang-undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 18 Tahun 2012 Tentang Pangan. Retrieved from https://peraturan.bpk.go.id/Home/Details/39100/
Xu Q., et al. (2019). Effects Of Climatic And Economic Factors On Corn And Soybean Yields In Ontario: A County Level Analysis. International Journal Of Food And Agricultural Economics, 7(1), 1-17. doi: 10.22004/ag.econ.283879