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Abstract
Agribusiness Cocoa on the island of Sulawesi is very supported by the availability of land plantations to produce production even bigger cocoa with management plant and processing seed good cocoa _ thus producing quality cocoa beans. However Thus, various problems are still just faced in the cultivation of cocoa which resulted in the decline in results production. At the moment this Indonesia's position is ranked third highest, however with problems production faced _ of course just rating this could shift to down, though riches nature and location geographical very support cultivation. Research results use the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method, which shows that the area and cocoa production on Sulawesi Island in 2021-2030 experience fluctuation. Southeast Sulawesi is a province on the island of Sulawesi which has the highest area (445.91 ha) in 2030, however, Central Sulawesi Province occupies a position as the center production major by 2030 with a production of 151.68 tons/ha.
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Copyright (c) 2022 Nixia Tenriawaru, Achmad Amiruddin, Muhammad Arsyad, Mahyuddin Mahyuddin, N Kharisma, Fengying Nie, Muhammad Ridwan
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References
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References
Alim, S., Lestari, P. P., & Rusliyawati, R. (2020). Sistem Pakar Diagnosa Penyakit Tanaman Kakao Menggunakan Metode Certainty Factor Pada Kelompok Tani PT Olam Indonesia (Cocoa) Cabang Lampung. Jurnal Data Mining dan Sistem Informasi, 1(1), 26–31. doi: 10.33365/jdmsi.v1i1.798
Antu, Evi Sunarti. (2020). Uji Kinerja Pengering Biji Kakao Type Hybrid Kapasitas 5kg. SemanTECH2020 (SemanTECH), 2(1), 109–115
Ariningsih, E., Purba, H, J., Sinuraya, J. F., Suharyono, S., & Septanti, K. S. (2020). Kinerja Industri Kakao di Indonesia. Forum Penelitian Agro Ekonomi, 37(1), 1. doi:10.21082/fae.v37n1.2019.1-23
Arsyad, M. (2007). The Impact of Fertilizer Subsidy And Export Tax Policies On Indonesia Cocoa Exports And Production. Ryokuko Journal of Economic Studies, 47(3), 1–27
Arsyad, M., Sinaga, B. M., & Yusuf, S. (2011). Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Pajak Ekspor dan Subsidi Harga Pupuk Terhadap Produksi dan Ekspor Kakao Indonesia Pasca Putaran Uruguay. Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, 8(1), 63-71
Bulkis, S., et al. (2019). Competitiveness Analysis of Cocoa Commodities in South Sulawesi. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 343(1), 1-7 . doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/343/1/012106
Damanik, S., & Herman. (2010). Prospek dan Strategi Pengembangan Perkebunan Kakao Berkelanjutan di Sumatera Barat. Perspektif, 9(2), 94–105
Elvani, S. P., Rachma, U. A.. & Yudaruddin, R. (2016). Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Tanaman Kelapa Sawit Dengan Menggunakan Metode ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Jurnal Manajemen, 8(1), 95–112. doi: 10.29264/jmmn.v8i2.1194
Hadinata, S., & Marianti, M. M. (2020). Analisis Dampak Hilirisasi Industri Kakao di Indonesia. Jurnal Akuntansi, 12(1), 99–108. doi: 10.28932/jam.v12i1.2287
Hanum, S. S. (2018). Faktor-faktor yang Memengaruhi Alih Fungsi Lahan Kakao Menjadi Kelapa Sawit di Kabupaten Asahan Sumatera Utara. (Thesis. IPB). Retrieved from http://repository.ipb.ac.id/handle/123456789/93889
Eman, J.J., Baroleh, J., & Loho, A. E. (2017). Peran Pendamping Terhadap Pemberdayaan Kelompok Tani Kakao di Kabupaten Bolaang Mongondow Utara. Jurnal Ilmiah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian AGRI-SOSIOEKONOMI, 13(2), 9–25. doi: 10.35791/agrsosek.13.2.2017.16340
Managanta, A. A., Sumardjo, Sadono. D.. & Tjitropranoto. P. (2019). Faktor-faktor yang Berpengaruh Terhadap Kompetensi Petani Kakao di Provinsi Sulawesi Tengah. Jurnal Peyuluhan. 15(1). 120–133. doi:10.25015/penyuluhan.v15i1.20966
Matondang, C. O. (2014). Analisis Pengaruh Faktor-faktor Produksi Dengan Penerapan Pengendalian Hama. (Thesis. University of Sumatera Utara). Retrieved from http://repositori.usu.ac.id/handle/123456789/37848
Melania, M., Ernawati, H., & Mirawati, Y. (2020). Potensi Ekspor Olahan Kakao Indonesia di Pasar Internasional Melalui Aspek Daya Dukung. Agripita: Jurnal Agribisnis Dan Pembangunan Pertanian, 4(1), 1–9
Mulyo, P. R., & Hariyati, Y. (2020). Dinamika Perkembangan Perkebunan Kakao Rakyat di Indonesia. Agriekonomika, 9(1), 48–60. doi: 10.21107/agriekonomika.v9i1.7296
Murtiningrum, M., & Bantacut, T. (2016). Review: Potensi dan Arah Pengembangan Agroindustri Berbasis Kakao di Provinsi Papua Barat. Agrointek, 10(1), 1-11. doi: 10.21107/agrointek.v10i1.2020
Nurul, I. (2016). Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Produksi Kakao di Indonesia Tahun 2014-2016. At-Tijaroh: Journal of Islamic Management and Business, 2(2), 230–243. doi: 10.24952/tijaroh.v2i2.799
Paelo, Y., Darma, R., & Arsyad, M. (2013). Dampak Program Wajib Tanam Kakao Terhadap Produksi Kakao di Kabupaten Jayapura Papua. Retrieved from http://pasca.unhas.ac.id/jurnal/files/aef2cad6170d9b05a5294b81a13d2529.pdf
Rifin, A., Priatna, W. B., & Asri, D. (2019). Efisiensi Teknis Usaha Tani Kakao Berdasarkan Klon Sulawesi 1&2 dan Klon Lokal. Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis, 18(1), 75–88. doi: 10.31186/jagrisep.18.1.75-88
Sukiyono, K.,et al. (2018). Selecting An Accurate Cacao Price Forecasting Model. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1114(1), 1-6. doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1114/1/012116
Thifany, A. J., Santosa, E., & Khumaida, N. (2020). Faktor-faktor yang Memengaruhi Produksi dan Efektivitas Panen pada Kakao Mulia. Jurnal Agronomi Indonesia (Indonesian Journal of Agronomy), 48(2), 187–195. doi: 10.24831/jai.v48i2.30565
Tresliyana, A., Fariyanti, A., & Rifin, A. (2015). Daya Saing Kakao Indonesia di Pasar Internasional. Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis, 12(2), 150-162. doi: 10.17358/jma.12.2.150
Wonda, M., & Tomayahu, E. (2016). Pendapatan Usahatani Tanaman Kakao (Teobroma kakao) di Kelurahan Farming Income of Kakao (Theobroma kakao L .) In Hinekombe Village. Waibu Subdistrict . Jayapura District. Agrologia, 5(1), 30–35. doi : 10.30598/a.v5i1.195