Main Article Content
Abstract
Abstract
This study attempts to assess threshold levels of income inequality and human development quality on economic growth for 34 provinces in Indonesia during 2022-2023. The cross-section threshold regression was employed. The findings reveal that the threshold levels of income inequality in 2022 and 2023 were 0.319 and 0.345, respectively. At the same time, the threshold levels of human development index were 71.65 and 71.25, respectively. The condition posits that the quality of income distribution and human development will be marginally lower in 2023 than in 2022. By considering Global OLS, total labor force and unemployment rate deliver a significant and negative impact on economic growth at 10% level in 2022. Interestingly, FDI provides a positive impact at 10% (income inequality) and 1% (human development) levels. Therefore, the central and local governments are challenged to design economic development under inclusive and sustainable perspectives. Their policies can improve the quality of labor (educated, skilled labors, and productive) and increase the equality of economic activities for all provinces. Besides, those governments should lead all economic agents to obtain and guarantee the quality of human development in the long-run.
Keywords : Income Inequality, Human Development, Threshold Level, Economic Growth.
Abstrak
Studi ini berupaya menilai ambang batas ketimpangan pendapatan dan kualitas pembangunan manusia terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di 34 provinsi di Indonesia selama periode 2022–2023. Metode cross-section threshold regression digunakan dalam analisis ini. Temuan penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ambang batas ketimpangan pendapatan pada tahun 2022 dan 2023 masing-masing sebesar 0,319 dan 0,345. Pada saat yang sama, ambang batas indeks pembangunan manusia (IPM) masing-masing tercatat sebesar 71,65 dan 71,25. Kondisi ini menunjukkan bahwa kualitas distribusi pendapatan dan pembangunan manusia pada tahun 2023 sedikit lebih rendah dibandingkan dengan tahun 2022. Dengan mempertimbangkan Global OLS, total angkatan kerja dan tingkat pengangguran memberikan pengaruh yang signifikan dan negatif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi pada taraf 10% di tahun 2022. Menariknya, Penanaman Modal Asing memberikan dampak positif pada taraf 10% (untuk ketimpangan pendapatan) dan 1% (untuk pembangunan manusia). Oleh karena itu, pemerintah pusat dan daerah ditantang untuk merancang pembangunan ekonomi dengan perspektif yang inklusif dan berkelanjutan. Kebijakan mereka dapat meningkatkan kualitas tenaga kerja (terdidik, terampil, dan produktif) serta mendorong pemerataan aktivitas ekonomi di seluruh provinsi. Selain itu, pemerintah juga perlu memimpin seluruh pelaku ekonomi untuk mencapai dan menjamin kualitas pembangunan manusia dalam jangka panjang.
Kata kunci: Ketimpangan Pendapatan, Pembangunan Manusia, Tingkat Ambang, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
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References
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- Bouincha, M. & Karim, M. (2018). Income Inequality and Economic Growth: An Analysis Using a Panel Data. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 10(5). https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v10n5p242
- Chiappero-Martinetti, E., von Jacobi, N. & Signorelli, M. (2015). Human Development and Economic Growth. In: Hölscher, J., Tomann, H. (eds) Palgrave Dictionary of Emerging Markets and Transition Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-37138-6_13
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- Hansen, B.E. (2000). Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation. Econometrica, 68(3), 575-603.
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- Nayyar, D. (2023). Economic Policies for Human Development: A Neglected Domain. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 24(4), 430-438. https://doi.org/10.1080/19452829.2023.2252646
- Omar, D. A. (2020). Inter-Relationship between Economic Development and Human Development Analytical Study of selected Arab Countries. Utopía y Praxis Latinoamericana, 25(1), 85-94. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3766122
- Romer, D. (2019). Advanced Macroeconomics (5th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
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- Setyowati, I. Y., Malik, N., & Suliswanto, M. S. W. (2024). Enhancing Human Development Quality in Indonesia: Socio-Economic and Technological Capabilities, 23(1), 93 – 108. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v23i1.35508
- Soeparno, W. S. I. & Pratomo, W. A. (2023). Does the Democracy and Economic Growth Affect Human Development in Indonesia? Journal of Sustainable Economics, 1(1), 58-64.
- Suri, T., Boozer, M. A., Ranis, G. & Stewart, F. (2011). Paths to Success: The Relationship between Human Development and Economic Growth. World Development, 39(4), 506–522. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.08.020
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- Tinbergen, J. (1956). On the Theory of Income Distribution. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Bd. 77, 155-175. http://www.jstor.org/stable/4043539
- Topuz, S. G. (2022). The Relationship between Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Are Transmission Channels Effective? Social Indicators Research, 162, 1177–1231. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-022-02882-0
References
Alamanda (2021). The Effect of Economic Growth on Income Inequality: Panel Data Analysis from Fifty Countries. Info Artha, 5(01), 1 – 10.
Bloom, D. E., Khoury, A., Kufenko, V. & Prettner, K. (2020). Spurring economic growth through human development: research results and guidance for policymakers. PGDA Working Paper No. 183. Harvard University.
Bouincha, M. & Karim, M. (2018). Income Inequality and Economic Growth: An Analysis Using a Panel Data. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 10(5). https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v10n5p242
Chiappero-Martinetti, E., von Jacobi, N. & Signorelli, M. (2015). Human Development and Economic Growth. In: Hölscher, J., Tomann, H. (eds) Palgrave Dictionary of Emerging Markets and Transition Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-37138-6_13
de Carvalho, L. D. & Gabriel, L. F. (2023). A North-South Economic Growth Model: The Role of Income Distribution. IE, 82(325), Verano, 149-181. http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2023.325.84287
Hansen, B.E. (1999). Threshold Effects in Non-Dynamic Panels: Estimation, Testing, and Inference. Journal of Econometrics, 93(2), 345-368.
Hansen, B.E. (2000). Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation. Econometrica, 68(3), 575-603.
Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic Growth and Income Inequality. The American, XLV (Number One), 1-28.
Mdingi, K. & Ho, S.-Y. (2023). Income inequality and economic growth: An empirical investigation in South Africa. MPRA Paper No. 117733, 1-30.
Nainggolan, L. E., Lie, D., Siregar, R. T., Nainggolan, N. T. (2022). Relationship between Human Development Index and Economic Growth in Indonesia Using Simultaneous Model. Journal of Positive School Psychology, 6(6), 695 – 706.
Nayyar, D. (2023). Economic Policies for Human Development: A Neglected Domain. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 24(4), 430-438. https://doi.org/10.1080/19452829.2023.2252646
Omar, D. A. (2020). Inter-Relationship between Economic Development and Human Development Analytical Study of selected Arab Countries. Utopía y Praxis Latinoamericana, 25(1), 85-94. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3766122
Romer, D. (2019). Advanced Macroeconomics (5th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
Scitovsky, T. (1964). A Survey of Some Theories of Income Distribution. In The Behavior of Income Shares: Selected Theoretical and Empirical Issues, p. 15 – 51. USA: Princeton University Press
Setyowati, I. Y., Malik, N., & Suliswanto, M. S. W. (2024). Enhancing Human Development Quality in Indonesia: Socio-Economic and Technological Capabilities, 23(1), 93 – 108. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v23i1.35508
Soeparno, W. S. I. & Pratomo, W. A. (2023). Does the Democracy and Economic Growth Affect Human Development in Indonesia? Journal of Sustainable Economics, 1(1), 58-64.
Suri, T., Boozer, M. A., Ranis, G. & Stewart, F. (2011). Paths to Success: The Relationship between Human Development and Economic Growth. World Development, 39(4), 506–522. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.08.020
Taqi, M., Ali, M. S. e, Parveen, S., Babar, M. & Khan, I. M. (2021). An analysis of Human Development Index and Economic Growth. A Case Study of Pakistan. iRASD Journal of Economics, 3(3), 261 – 271. https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2021.0303.0042
Tinbergen, J. (1956). On the Theory of Income Distribution. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Bd. 77, 155-175. http://www.jstor.org/stable/4043539
Topuz, S. G. (2022). The Relationship between Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Are Transmission Channels Effective? Social Indicators Research, 162, 1177–1231. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-022-02882-0