Main Article Content

Abstract

The aims of this research is to find out the relationship of rupiah exchange rate and net export Indonesia. This research covers the periode for 2000.Q1-2017.Q4, used secondary data which were analyzed using Granger Causality Test and Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and existing data processed by using computer program of Eviews 9.0. The stationary properties of the time series data are examined by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Granger Causality test is applied to find out long-run relationship along with causality among the variables. The result of the data analysis show that there is no causality between rupiah exchange rate and net xport. Granger Causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality between net export to rupiah exchange rate. It is mean that net export  effect rupiah exchange rate, but rupiah exchange rate does not effect net export.
 
Keywords: Causality, Net Export, Exchange Rate

Keywords

Causality Net Export Exchange Rate Nilai Tukar Rupiah Kausalitas Nilai Tukar Rupiah dengan Net Ekspor

Article Details

How to Cite
Anggraini, T. B., & Yefriza, Y. (2020). NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN NET EKSPOR INDONESIA 2000 – 2017 (GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST). Convergence: The Journal of Economic Development, 1(1), 9–24. https://doi.org/10.33369/convergence-jep.v1i1.10854

References

  1. Amir, MS. 2004. Strategi Memasuki Pasar Ekspor. Jakarta: PPM.
  2. Anindhita, Anung Yoga. 2016. Dampak Nilai Tukar Terhadap Perdagangan Internasional Sektor Industri Mnufaktur Indonesia (Kuartal I:2005-Kuartal IV: 2012). Thesis. Surabaya: Universitas Airlangga. (https://e-journal.unair.ac.idJEBA/article/download/4542/3062.
  3. Apridar. 2009. Ekonomi Internasional (Sejarah, Teori, Konsep, Permasalahan Dalam Aplikasinya). Yogyakarta: Graha Ilmu.
  4. Bank Indonesia. Terbitan Berbagai Tahun. Statistik Ekonomi Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI). Jakarta: Bank Indonesia.
  5. Bank Indonesia. 2018. Neraca Pembayaran Indonesia Triwulan I 2018. Jakarta: Bank Indonesia.
  6. Bisnis Indonesia. 28 Agustus 2018. OPINI: Pelemahan Rupiah dan Strategi Mendorong Ekspor, hal. 9, (https://finansial.bisnis.com/read/20180828/9/832305/opini-pelemahan-rupiah-dan-strategi-mendorong-ekspor.
  7. Budiono. 2009. Ekonomi Moneter. Yogyakarta: BPFE UGM.
  8. Chichi, Onuorah Anastasia & Osuji Chinaemerem Casmir. (2014). Exchange Rate and Economic Growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Management Science, 2 (2), 2014: 78-87. (https://www.academia.edu/7255176/Exchange_Rate_and_the_Economic_Growth_in_ Nigeria.
  9. Ginting, Ari Mulianta. 2013. Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Terhadap Ekspor Indonesia. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 7 (1), (https://www.kemendag.go.id/files/pdf/2014/04/08/-1396957338.pdf
  10. Ghosh, Atish R.; Gulde, Anne-Marie & Wolf, Holger C. 2002. Exchange Rate Regime: Choices and Consequences. Cambridge: The MIT Press.
  11. Ghozali, Imam. 2006. Aplikasi Analisis Multi Variate Dengan Program SPSS. Semarang: Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro.
  12. Gujarati, Damodar. 2010. Ekonometrika Dasar. Terjemahan oleh Sumarno Zain. Jakarta: Erlangga.
  13. Kuncoro, Mudrajad. 2009. Metode Riset Untuk Bisnis dan Ekonomi. Jakarta: Erlangga.
  14. Korkmaz, Suna. 2013. The Effect Of Exchange Rate On Economic Growth. Turki: Balikesir University.
  15. Krugman, Paul R. & Obstfeld, Maurice. (1992). Ekonomi Internasional Teori & Kebijakan. Jakarta: Rajawali.
  16. Mankiw, N Gregory. 2003. Teori Makroekonomi Edisi Kelima. Jakarta: Erlangga.
  17. Mishkin, Frederic S. 2008. Ekonomi, Uang, Perbankan dan Pasar Keuangan Edisi 8. Buku 2. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
  18. Nawatmi, Sri. 2012. Volatilitas Nilai Tukar Dan Perdagangan Internasional. Dinamika Akuntansi, Keuangan, dan Perbankan, 1 (1), (https://www.unisbank.ac.id/ojs/index.php/fe9/ article/download/918/473.
  19. Novianti, Amalia. 2009. Analisis Pengaruh Perubahan Nilai Tukar Uang Terhadap Kinerja Bank Umum Konvensional Indonesia Berdasarkan Analisis CAMEL. Skripsi. Jakarta: Universitas Indonesia, (http://lib.ui.ac.id/file?file=digital/127014-6556-Analisis%20pengaruh-HA.pdf.
  20. Proyono, Dedi Dan Wirathi, I G. A. P. 2016. Analisis Hubungan Ekspor, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Dan Kesempatan Kerja Di Provinsi Bali: Pengujian Vector Auto Regression. Skripsi. Bali: Universitas Udayana, (https://www.neliti.com/id/publications/165288/analisis-hubungan-ekspor-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-dan-kesempatan-kerja-di-provinsi-ba.
  21. Raharjo, Mugi. 200). Ekonomi Moneter. JawaTengah : Lembaga Pengembangan Pendidikan (LPP) UNS dan UPT Penerbitan dan Percetakan UNS (UNS Press).
  22. Sukirno, Sadono. (2010). Pengantar Teori Makro Ekonomi Edisi 1. Jakarta : PT. Raja Grafindo Persada.
  23. Thahir, Madjiani, dkk. 2015. Analisis Pengaruh Net Ekspor, Investasi, dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Tahun 1990 – 2011. Skripsi. Kendari: Universitas Haluoleo, (http://ilmuiesp.blogspot.com/2015/11/analisis-pengaruh-net-ekspor-investasi.html.
  24. V Purba, Jan Horas Dan Magdalena, Annaria. 2017. Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Terhadap Ekspor Dan Dampaknya Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Derema Jurnal Manajemen, 12 (2), (https://ojs.uph.edu/index.php/djm/article/view/500.
  25. Yusuf, A. Muri. 2005. Metodologi Penelitian. Padang: UNP Press.
  26. www.bappenas.go.id.
  27. www.ekonomi.kompas.com/read/2018/01/15/141247726/bps-neraca-perdagangan-indonesia-2017-surplus-1184-miliar-dolar-as.
  28. www.indonesia-investments.com